Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.949304 3.158114 3.382083 3.641529 3.935522 4.260408 4.649518
2025-12-14 2.566802 2.837429 3.143917 3.521141 3.979311 4.526557 5.243832
2025-12-21 2.387295 2.694919 3.056253 3.520209 4.112985 4.864538 5.924822
2025-12-28 2.242445 2.571454 2.968755 3.496031 4.197799 5.133253 6.541665
2026-01-04 2.088804 2.421634 2.831465 3.388455 4.152464 5.210517 6.888042
2026-01-11 2.000371 2.344778 2.777337 3.379825 4.232971 5.464481 7.534500
2026-01-18 1.952861 2.315124 2.779533 3.443371 4.416303 5.887184 8.534014
2026-01-25 2.051688 2.479835 3.048561 3.899892 5.229265 7.426781 11.983940
2026-02-01 1.929003 2.341552 2.893923 3.729513 5.053831 7.291153 12.104935
2026-02-08 1.810710 2.204040 2.733390 3.539659 4.830036 7.041806 11.921291
2026-02-15 1.747511 2.138899 2.671093 3.492999 4.834890 7.205106 12.721080
2026-02-22 1.686993 2.074678 2.606558 3.437973 4.819548 7.326932 13.461269
2026-03-01 1.604654 1.983010 2.506847 3.335976 4.739391 7.361084 14.139634
2026-03-08 1.525675 1.893661 2.407360 3.229751 4.645662 7.363636 14.781590
2026-03-15 1.483160 1.853247 2.376477 3.229092 4.737039 7.761973 16.814157
2026-03-22 1.438872 1.808005 2.335493 3.208105 4.787798 8.083562 18.847820
2026-03-29 1.379342 1.738336 2.254249 3.114620 4.691918 8.054883 19.610454
2026-04-05 1.345640 1.704638 2.225698 3.107109 4.759804 8.425904 22.313977
2026-04-12 1.329442 1.695589 2.234040 3.162376 4.957344 9.167463 27.693819
2026-04-19 1.388718 1.800541 2.425911 3.556802 5.925407 12.419747 60.964150
2026-04-26 1.329026 1.723833 2.323832 3.410126 5.689970 11.967311 59.714972
2026-05-03 1.268431 1.644276 2.214804 3.245946 5.403570 11.307796 55.085977
2026-05-10 1.236265 1.607168 2.173371 3.205475 5.397252 11.582159 63.900148